Expansion of Net Cash and Enhanced Profitability Driven by HBM Growth

"Industry Cyclicality, Chinese Competition, and Large-Scale Investments Remain Risk Factors"

International credit rating agency Moody's has upgraded SK hynix's credit rating to the 'A' range for the first time, reflecting improvements in the company's profitability and cash generation driven by the booming AI memory semiconductor market.

SK hynix headquarters in Icheon, Gyeonggi Province. Photo by Yonhap News Agency

SK hynix headquarters in Icheon, Gyeonggi Province. Photo by Yonhap News Agency

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According to industry sources on August 4, Moody's raised SK hynix's long-term issuer credit rating and the senior unsecured bond credit rating by one notch from 'Baa1' to 'A3' the previous day. The rating outlook remains 'stable.' This is the first time since SK hynix became part of the SK Group in 2012 that Moody's has granted it an A rating.


Moody's cited SK hynix's AI memory competitiveness and the sharp improvement in its financial structure as the reasons for the upgrade. Moody's stated, "SK hynix is expected to maintain strong profitability and cash generation over the next 12 to 18 months, further enhancing its financial structure and flexibility. This will provide substantial cushion to withstand potential downturns in the semiconductor industry."


Notably, Moody's forecast that continued investment by major Big Tech companies in AI infrastructure will sustain demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and server DRAM, while major semiconductor manufacturers reallocating production capacity toward AI memory will limit the supply of general-purpose memory, supporting firm pricing.


In fact, Moody's estimates SK hynix's adjusted EBITDA to jump from approximately 6.5 trillion won last year to about 27.4 trillion won this year, and further to around 37.4 trillion won next year. Operating cash flow has far exceeded the scale of capital expenditure and shareholder returns, causing SK hynix's adjusted net cash position to surge from about 1 trillion won at the end of last year to roughly 6.7 trillion won at the end of the first half of this year. SK hynix is now aiming to secure more than 10 trillion won in net cash, maximizing its financial stability.



However, Moody's pointed out that the memory semiconductor industry's inherent high cyclicality, the pursuit of Chinese latecomers, and the ongoing burden of large-scale investments needed to maintain technological leadership remain key risk factors.


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