Government Bond Yields Hit New Annual Highs Amid Surge in International Oil Prices
Brent Crude Surpasses $100 per Barrel for the First Time in Two Months
On July 24, in the Seoul bond market, the yield on three-year government bonds ended trading at 3.959% per annum, up 4.2 basis points (1bp=0.01 percentage point) from the previous trading day. This is the highest level since November 2023.
The yield on ten-year bonds rose 5.5 basis points to 4.447% per annum. The five-year bond yield ended at 4.214% per annum, up 5.0 basis points, while the two-year bond yield closed at 3.801% per annum, up 5.5 basis points.
The yield on twenty-year bonds recorded 4.642% per annum, up 2.6 basis points. The thirty-year and fifty-year bond yields ended the session at 4.643% per annum and 4.538% per annum, respectively, rising 1.5 and 1.3 basis points. Except for the two-year maturity, yields for all other government bond maturities reached new annual highs.
The rise in government bond yields is attributed to growing concerns over inflation due to a sharp surge in international oil prices. Fears are spreading that the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a key oil shipping route in the Red Sea, could also be blocked following the Hormuz Strait. As a result, Brent crude oil jumped more than 7% overnight. Within two months, the price of Brent crude surpassed $100 per barrel.
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However, there are assessments that the increase in domestic yields was limited compared to major overseas markets, as the Korean won continued to strengthen. Earlier this month, the won-dollar exchange rate approached 1,560 won per dollar, but as of this day, it had dropped to the mid-1,460 won range.
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