New York Fed President: "Upside Risks to Inflation Have Grown... No Reason to Change 'Easing Bias'"
Williams Maintains 'Neutral Hawkish' Stance
Rising Energy Prices Drive Inflation
U.S. Economy Remains Resilient
Interest Rate Decisions Must Be Data Dependent
John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, stated on June 3 (local time) that the upside risk to inflation has increased as energy prices have surged due to the aftermath of the Iran war. However, he maintained a neutral yet hawkish stance, saying that the current interest rate level is appropriate.
In an interview with Yahoo Finance that day, Williams was asked whether the policy statement's easing bias should be maintained or removed given the current inflation outlook. He replied, "Monetary policy is exactly in the right place at the moment. There is no need to raise or cut rates right now."
John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. New York, USA — Photo by Yoonju Hwang
View original imageWilliams emphasized, "However, considering recent developments, the upside risks to inflation have somewhat increased—in fact, they have grown significantly. In particular, rising energy prices and other factors driving up prices are having an impact."
Williams also stressed that the U.S. economy is more resilient than expected. He said, "The very positive aspect is that the U.S. economy is surprisingly resilient. Growth remains solid, and the labor market continues to stabilize at a fairly healthy level."
He added, "I think the balance of risks regarding the Fed's dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability has shifted somewhat compared to before. The risks on the price stability side have grown, but the risks on the employment side appear to have slightly decreased."
Williams said, "That does not mean there is a clear reason to change rates right now. At the same time, there is also no clear direction for which way to move going forward. I do not see any need to change the current language of the statement."
When asked whether he expects rates to remain on hold for the rest of this year, Williams answered, "Ultimately, we need to be data dependent," adding, "Being data dependent means it depends on what happens next, and the ongoing conflict is also important."
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He continued, "At this point, I feel that the economy is in a very good position. Still, whether it is on the inflation side or the employment side, if conditions related to the Fed's mandate change, we must respond appropriately."
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