Diplomatic Negotiations and Military Pressure Proceed Simultaneously
Market Shows Signs of Uncertainty
Concerns Persist Over the Difficulty of Achieving an End to the Conflict

New York Stock Exchange. Photo by Yoon-Joo Hwang

New York Stock Exchange. Photo by Yoon-Joo Hwang

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As reports emerged that the U.S. Department of Defense is set to deploy the elite 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East, all three major U.S. stock indices ended the session lower on March 24 (local time).


On this day at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 46,124.06, down 84.41 points (0.81%) from the previous trading day. The S&P 500 index, focused on large-cap stocks, dropped by 24.63 points (0.37%) to finish at 6,556.37, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq index fell by 184.865 points (0.84%) to close at 21,761.894.


The market appeared unsettled by remarks from U.S. President Donald Trump. The previous day, President Trump announced that negotiations with Iran were underway and that attacks on Iran’s energy facilities would be halted for five days.


However, just one day later, news broke that the U.S. Department of Defense would deploy the 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East. The deployment is expected to involve approximately 3,000 troops, with written orders for the deployment anticipated to be issued on this day. Analysts suggest that this move is aimed at gaining leverage in negotiations through a combination of diplomatic talks and military pressure. Additionally, it is seen as preparation in case the situation deteriorates further.


Within a few hours, President Trump told reporters at the White House that Iran had offered a "gift" as a gesture of goodwill in the negotiations. Although he did not disclose specifics, he indicated the offer was related to oil and gas.


As a result, international oil prices once again surpassed the $100 mark. On this day, May Brent crude futures settled at $104.49 per barrel, up 4.6% from the previous session. May West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures also jumped 4.8% to $92.35 per barrel compared to the previous day.


Nikos Tsapourlas, Senior Market Analyst at the trading platform TREDU, said, "Nothing has changed on the ground," adding, "The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively blocked, and continued disruption in oil supply is making the supply-demand balance even tighter."


Shares of oil refining and energy companies ended higher. The energy sector posted the best performance in the S&P 500, surging more than 2%. ExxonMobil rose 1.78%, Chevron gained 0.12%, Occidental Petroleum added 0.35%, Diamondback Energy increased 2.24%, and APA advanced 3.38%.


Terry Sandven, Chief Equity Strategist at US Bank Asset Management, commented, "Given the significant uncertainty surrounding Iran at the moment, we expect the market to remain range-bound with high volatility until conditions improve." He added, "If the S&P 500 index closes below the 6,500 level, there is a possibility of further declines."



Thierry Wizman, a representative of Macquarie Group, assessed that optimism about an end to the Middle East war remains misplaced unless the United States first makes efforts to secure and control the Strait of Hormuz or gains greater negotiating leverage with Iran. He pointed out, "The longer oil prices remain at elevated levels, the longer central banks will feel compelled to maintain a hawkish tone in their monetary policy."


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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